Sunday, 27 February 2011

Why should i write blog?

Great! I guess blogging came about when folks (including me) moved away from their 'Dear Diary' moments onto the web. I wish Anne Frank (Acknowledged for the quality of her writing, her diary has become one of the world's most widely read books, and has been the basis for several plays and films) had lived to see this day.

With some amount of surprise, I read somewhere that if you own a blog, it better be something special. I have also read that, if one is not putting up something useful or interesting, they are not blogging, they are 'blagging'. Honestly speaking, I am happy doing blagging (though that's a criminal misuse of sacred space) for next few years before I think of professional writing. 
Here, this being my blog post, I will write about things or events or situations especially Economics and Finance that affected me.
And I promise to myself i ll never write more than 0.5% of what I read, so i have to read more and more to improve my level of understanding and quality of writing.


Tuesday, 22 February 2011

Mr Kamkazi and Trade Deficit



FEW Questions to Mr Kamkazi

Question from student 1
How would lower trade deficit strengthen rupee and its effect on economy??what is trade deficit?
 
Answer from Mr Kamkazi
in simple terms
Trade deficit
=imports minus exports
 
suppose 2009: India exported 10 billion$ worth stuff, and imported 50 billion$ worth stuff.
So trade deficit (2009)=50-10=40 billion$.
 
in 2010, the case improves, our import remains same, but we export 20 billion$ worth stuff. So,
trade deficit (2009) = 50-20=30 billion$
 
As you see, our trade deficit has lowered from 40 to 30.

Question from student 2
How would lower trade deficit in above example, strengthens rupee?
 
Answer from Mr Kamkazi
Forex market is a place where people buy and sell currency, based on supply and demand.
When you've to import from USA to India, you goto forex market, get your rupees converted into dollar$ to pay the bill and import it.
 
When an American, is importing mangoes from India, he pays the Indian seller in dollar$, and that Indian guy, goes to forex market and gets those dollar$ converted into Rupees, so that he can do his son's wedding, payback the home-loan etc. for which he needs Indian currency (Rs.)
 
So like that, there is a supply-demand of currencies in the Forex Market.

Question from student 3
How a currency strengthens when its in more demand in forex market?
 
Answer from Mr Kamkazi
When trade deficit is lower,
means we are exporting more.
Means we are receiving more dollars than earlier.
Means people are demanding more rupees than earlier @ Forex Market.
So Rupee is in higher demand @ Forex market, hence Rupee is strengthened.
 

Question from student 4
How does it effect on economy?

Answer from Mr Kamkazi
When Rupee strengthens, i.e.
(2009) 1$=60 Rs.
(2010) 1$=40 Rs.
 
In above case, Rupee is strengthened. So, when you're importing, you've to pay less Rupees.
But when you're exporting, you also get less Rupees money as payment.
 
So Rupee's strengthening or appreciation, is good for importers but bad for exporters.
Hence lower trade deficit, in long term is good for importers but bad for exporters.
 
In such a scenario, If a country has export oriented economy (like China or Taiwan) it'll move towards recession.
Majority of people make living by working in some export oriented mobile-phone, stuffed toys factory. when they receive less money for export = job loss etc bad things.
 
 
 

Saturday, 19 February 2011

Mr Kamkazi and Bond


"So boys today we are going to discuss basics about bonds" Mr Kamkazi started his class, 'There are certain things you must understand about bonds before you start reading about them. Not understanding these things may cause you to purchase the wrong bonds, at the wrong maturity date. The three most important things that must be considered when purchasing a bond include the par value, the maturity date, and the coupon rate".


'The par value of a bond refers to the amount of money you will receive when the bond reaches its maturity date. In other words, you will receive your initial investment back when the bond reaches maturity. The maturity date is of course the date that the bond will reach its full value. On this date, you will receive your initial investment, plus the interest that your money has earned. The coupon rate is the interest that you will receive when the bond reaches maturity. This number is written as a percentage, and you must use other information to find out what the interest will be. A bond that has a par value of Rs1000, with a coupon rate of 10% would earn Rs100 per year until it reaches maturity. Because bonds are not issued by banks, many people don’t understand how to go about buying one. There are two ways this can be done. You can use a broker or brokerage firm to make the purchase for you or you can go directly to the government. If you use a brokerage, you will more than likely be charged a commission fee".

Mr Kamkazi took a break and again came back to topic, explaining equations about the topic.

Wednesday, 9 February 2011

Notes of Mr Kamkazi- Few Investment options


Few Investment options available in India

1. Fixed deposit - Money placed with banking institutions for a fixed tenure.

2. Bond fund - An investment fund that invests primarily in bonds or other debt securities.

3. Capital guaranteed product - A product that provides a return while at the same time provide capital guarantee at the end of maturity.

4. Corporate bond - A debt instrument for a loan which is issued by a borrower to an investor who is the buyer of the bond and lender of the money. In return for the money, the issuer agrees to pay regular interest to the bondholder for the term of the loan and the principal sum borrowed upon maturity.

5. Equity fund - An investment fund that invests primarily in shares.

6. Investment linked insurance - A life insurance plan that combines investment and protection. The premiums paid will partly be used to pay for life insurance cover and partly for investment in specific investment funds of the policyholder's choice.

7. Listed large capital stock - Companies whose shares are listed on BSE or NSE with market capitalization of generally above Rs 5000 cr.

8. Listed small capital stock - Companies whose shares are listed on BSE or NSE with market capitalization of generally below Rs 5000 cr

9. Option/warrant - An instrument that gives the holder the right but not the obligation, to subscribe for a particular instrument, e.g. new ordinary shares, at a pre-determined exercise price within a stipulated validity time frame (exercise period). The warrant becomes worthless after the expiry of the exercise period.

10. Separately managed equity portfolio - A portfolio managed by fund manager where investors own the securities individually.

11. Mutual Funds - Pools of money managed by an investment company. They offer investors a variety of choice, depending on the fund and its investment objective.

12. Gold funds- Gold is a liquid form of investment and is usually incorporated in investment portfolios to hedge against other market positions. This is especially true when you have exposures in the currency and stock markets. But if you are planning to invest in gold as a primary investment vehicle, then timing is the key - as they say “Buy Low, Sell High”. But then again, it is not as simple as that. Lows and highs happen every hour – minutes even.

There are many gold investment products to choose from and they are primarily classified as “physical” and “paper” gold investment products. The appropriate gold product to invest in depends on how much you are willing to invest in, and how long you are committed to stay in the market. Deciding on your gold investment plan needs careful study - if not, an expert’s advice. Whichever step you take, starts with knowing the different gold investment products available in the market today.



Monday, 7 February 2011

Mr Kamakazi and CDO


It was usual day for Mr Kamkazi , class was not much interactive, students took no interest in class. But at the end of class one student asked one Question, `sir please explain me CDO and use of it in our banking system”.


Mr Kamkazi knew this is one of the complex topic to explain, it need utmost care to use examples otherwise it may be misunderstood and the most important is to keep check on your emotion towards this particular instrument.



He explained `Few years back banks were operating at the limit of Basel Norms and were eager to tap into the lending business without diluting their equity capital. Part of the reason securitization picked up so rapidly was that it offered a way lender to do just this. The method was simple. Say a bank has 100 crore as the equity capital and is allowed by the Basel Norms to lend up to 1000 crore of home loans. If the NIM on such loan asset is 1%, the bank can lend the Rs 1000 crore and make Rs 10 crore of net income every year. Alternatively, if it securitizes Rs 800 crore out of Rs 1000 crore of loans, and sell them to other investors, this investment tool is called as Collateralized Debt Obligation(CDO). Now bank`s  lending come down to Rs 200 crore. Within the limits of Basel Norms it can again relend Rs 800 crore more”.



`Now you may raise the question ,what is the benefit of it on the other part? And my answer is simple, while securitizing , it makes the fee out of the difference of interest rate paid by the home loan borrowers and that received by CDO investors. In doing so , on the Rs 100 crore of Equity capital, instead of earning Rs 10 crore in the single lending case, it can make Rs 20 crore or more.”




Now Mr Kamkazi take a look over all his students and satisfied.